Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Eduardo Ribeiro — Bogota Round of 16
Pucinelli De Almeida M.Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida faces Eduardo Ribeiro in the Bogota round of 16 on clay. Eduardo Ribeiro is the paper favourite — ranked #375 — but Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida arrives in form, winning 9 of their last 10 on clay to Eduardo Ribeiro's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Pucinelli De Almeida M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida comes in with 2 days of rest and 199 games in 14d, vs Eduardo Ribeiro's 1 and 60.
- Surface form: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 9 of 10, Eduardo Ribeiro 5 of 10 on clay recently — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida arrives on a 6-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPucinelli De Almeida M.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 123 games (7d) · Ribeiro E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.