Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida — Bogota Round of 32
Popko D.
Dmitry Popko faces Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida in the Bogota round of 32 on clay. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida holds the paper edge — ranked #397, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Pucinelli De Almeida M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Dmitry Popko comes in with 1 days of rest and 42 games in 14d, vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's 1 and 228.
- Last match: Dmitry Popko dropped just 3 games past C. F. Sanchez Rojas.
- Surface form: Dmitry Popko 2 of 7, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 6 of 7 on clay recently — Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPopko D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 123 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.