Alan Magadan vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez — Bogota Round of 32
Magadan A.
Alan Magadan faces Johan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez in the Bogota round of 32 on clay. Johan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez holds the paper edge — a roughly 130-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rodriguez Rodriguez J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alan Magadan 76 games in 14 days, Johan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez 21.
- Form trend: Alan Magadan's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Johan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez's has cooled.
- Surface form: Alan Magadan 4 of 9, Johan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez 6 of 9 on clay recently — Johan Alexander Rodriguez Rodriguez the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Freshness
Recent loadMagadan A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Rodriguez Rodriguez J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.