Facundo Mena vs Olukayode Alafia Damina AyeniBogota Round of 32

Bogota · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#344ATP
1427ELO
1406Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 4th on
#460ATP
1324ELO
1230Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLWW
Mena F.
3-6 6-3 7-5
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.
Mena F.
3672
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.
6351

Facundo Mena defeated Olukayode Alafia Damina Ayeni in the Round of 32 at the Bogota clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 in favor of Mena. Mena hit 6 aces and 8 double faults, while Ayeni had 16 aces and 11 double faults; Mena converted 30% of break points and Ayeni converted 17%, with Mena securing 3 service breaks to Ayeni's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.3
6.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
9
13
Break points saved·Even
57
57
Break points won·Slight edge
7
1
Deciding sets·Slight edge
28
38
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
10
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Mena F.69%
Alafia Damina Ayeni O.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mena F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+176 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1230
6.3Overall Elo 1427
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1324
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
86

Mena F.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Alafia Damina Ayeni O.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw