Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Felipe Meligeni AlvesBogota Round of 32

Bogota · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#338ATP
1527ELO
1460Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#807ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLLW
Pacheco Mendez R.
vs
Meligeni Alves F.

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez faces Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Bogota round of 32 on clay. Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez holds the paper edge — ranked #338. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:21 UTC
Pacheco Mendez R.62%
Meligeni Alves F.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pacheco Mendez R. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1460
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Clay Elo edge
5.6Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1477
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.87 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

24 vs 11 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Pacheco Mendez R.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Meligeni Alves F.

Meligeni Alves F.serving65% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Pacheco Mendez R.

Serve advantage — Pacheco Mendez R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
14
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
90
Break points won·Clear edge
3
18
Deciding sets·Dominant
21
53
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
53

Pacheco Mendez R.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 6 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 53%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.