Jack Kennedy vs Yosuke WatanukiCary

Cary · CHALLENGER
1581ELO
1411Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
hard
#294ATP
1552ELO
1536Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLLLLLWW
Kennedy J.
vs
Watanuki Y.

Jack Kennedy faces Yosuke Watanuki in the Cary match on hard. Yosuke Watanuki is the paper favourite — a roughly 130-point hard Elo advantage — but Jack Kennedy rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1410
Surface ELO
6.6+126 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1552
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.74 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 8 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Break points saved·Even
49%
49%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kennedy J.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Watanuki Y.

Watanuki Y.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kennedy J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
84

Kennedy J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Watanuki Y.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.