Jack Kennedy vs Kaichi UchidaCary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
1581ELO
1411Hard ELO
18 yrs
Last 10
LWWWWLWWWL
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
hard
#255ATP
1360ELO
1334Hard ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLLLW
Kennedy J.
vs
Uchida K.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Kennedy J.79%
Uchida K.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kennedy J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+76 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1334
7.8Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1360
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.32 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kennedy J.Surging
Uchida K.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

12 vs 18 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Clear edge
46%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kennedy J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Uchida K.

Uchida K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kennedy J.

Serve advantage — Kennedy J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Uchida K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.