Braden Shick vs Dhakshineswar Suresh

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

USA

Braden Shick

#325ATP

1384ELO

1358Hard ELO

22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWWWLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 2 July 2026 · 10:00

hard

IND

Dhakshineswar Suresh

#475ATP

1611ELO

1563Hard ELO

26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWLWWWW

Shick B.

Suresh D.

Braden Shick faces Dhakshineswar Suresh in the Cary round of 16 on hard. Braden Shick is the paper favourite — ranked #325 — but Dhakshineswar Suresh rides a 6-match win streak. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:21 UTC

Shick B.23%

Suresh D.77%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Suresh D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Braden Shick 15 games in 14 days, Dhakshineswar Suresh 62.
Last match: Braden Shick dropped just 3 games past Fajing Sun.
Last match: Dhakshineswar Suresh edged Liam Draxl in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Shick B.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Suresh D.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

2.4Hard Elo 1358

Surface ELO

7.6+206 Hard Elo edge

2.2Overall Elo 1384

ELO gap

7.8Overall Elo 1611

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.78 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

8.68 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

9.06-match win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Shick B.Stable

Suresh D.Risingearly

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

16 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season

Shick B.Suresh D.

1st serve in·Slight edge

53%

61%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

69%

80%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

44%

Service points won·Slight edge

59%

66%

Return points won·Clear edge

41%

28%

Break points saved·Dominant

55%

80%

Aces / match·Dominant

3.6

11.3

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.2

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Shick B.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Suresh D.

Suresh D.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shick B.

Serve advantage — Shick B.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Shick B.Suresh D.

Freshness·Clear edge

Shick B.: played today · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Suresh D.: played today · 3 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

31°CClear

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 47%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Braden Shick vs Dhakshineswar Suresh — Cary Round of 16