Edward Winter vs Andrew Fenty

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

AUSQ

Edward Winter

#434ATP

1434ELO

1404Hard ELO

21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLLLWLWLW

—

Sets

Tuesday, 30 June 2026 · 10:00

hard

USAQ

Andrew Fenty

#400ATP

1199ELO

1183Hard ELO

26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWLWLL

Winter E.

Fenty A.

Edward Winter faces Andrew Fenty in the Cary round of 32 on hard. Andrew Fenty holds the paper edge — ranked #400.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:22 UTC

Winter E.85%

Fenty A.15%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Winter E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Edward Winter dropped the opening set before beating Hiroki Moriya 4–6 6–2 6–3.
Last match: Andrew Fenty dropped just 5 games past Masamichi Imamura.
Fatigue load: Edward Winter carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Winter E.

6.2

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Fenty A.

4.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.8+221 Hard Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.2Hard Elo 1183

7.9Overall Elo 1434

ELO gap

2.1Overall Elo 1199

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.97 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.27 of last 10 on hard

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.