Hiroki Moriya vs Edward Winter — Cary Qualifying Final
AUSQ
Moriya H.
Edward Winter recovered from a set down to defeat Hiroki Moriya 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the Cary qualifying final.
Key context
- Set 1, game 8: A 13-point game with four deuces went Hiroki Moriya's way.
- Set 3, game 6: Edward Winter broke serve.
- Pressure points: Hiroki Moriya converted 2 of 5 break points; Edward Winter converted 4 of 10 break points.
Pressure & serve by court
Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Winter E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.