Fajing Sun vs Braden ShickCary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#270ATP
1505ELO
1478Hard ELO
$32kYTD
$490kCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 15 · 3rd on
#325ATP
1384ELO
1358Hard ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
Sun F.
1-6 2-6
Shick B.
Sun F.
120
Shick B.
662

Braden Shick reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-1 6-2 win over Fajing Sun in the Cary round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: Braden Shick broke serve.
  • Set 2, game 3: Braden Shick broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Fajing Sun converted 0 of 0 break points; Braden Shick converted 4 of 5 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Sun F.
Shick B.
Break points won
4/5
Break points saved
1/5

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Sun F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shick B.

Shick B.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sun F.

Serve advantage — Sun F.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
55%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Sun F.75%
Shick B.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sun F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1358
6.5Overall Elo 1505
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1384
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
88

Sun F.: played today · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Shick B.: played today · 1 match, 15 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%