Fajing Sun vs Braden ShickCary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#324ATP
1496ELO
1473Hard ELO
$32kYTD
$490kCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 15 · 3rd on
#219ATP
1385ELO
1358Hard ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWLW
Sun F.
1-6 2-6
Shick B.
Sun F.
120
Shick B.
662

Braden Shick defeated Fajing Sun in the Round of 32 of the Cary tournament on hard courts, winning 6-1, 6-2. Shick hit 6 aces to Sun's 2 and converted 80% of his break points, compared to 0% for Sun. Shick won 81% of his first-serve points and took 4 service breaks to Sun's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.5
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Sun F.76%
Shick B.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sun F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1358
6.5Overall Elo 1505
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1384
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
100

Sun F.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Shick B.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw