Giles Hussey vs Joao Fonseca — Eastbourne Round of 16
BRA
Hussey G.
Giles Hussey faces Joao Fonseca in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Joao Fonseca is the paper favourite — ranked #27, a roughly 310-point grass Elo advantage — but Giles Hussey rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Fonseca J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Giles Hussey 81 games in 14 days, Joao Fonseca 16.
- Under pressure: Joao Fonseca has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 76 vs Giles Hussey's 45).
- Last match: Giles Hussey dropped just 6 games past Matteo Arnaldi.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHussey G.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 42 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.