Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Eastbourne Round of 16
Cerundolo F.Francisco Cerundolo faces Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Eastbourne round of 16 on grass. Francisco Cerundolo holds the paper edge — ranked #21, a roughly 110-point grass Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1, though this is their first meeting on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Cerundolo F. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Francisco Cerundolo has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 89 vs Thiago Agustin Tirante's 45).
- Serve & return: Thiago Agustin Tirante brings the bigger serve (Serve Rating 42), Francisco Cerundolo the stronger return game (Return Rating 82).
- Fatigue load: Francisco Cerundolo carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadCerundolo F.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 143 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | Miami Masters | R64 | hard | Francisco Cerundolo | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2026-02-16 | Rio de Janeiro | R16 | clay | Thiago Agustin Tirante | 6-2 3-1 RET |