Katerina Siniakova vs Rebeka MasarovaBerlin Round of 32

Berlin · WTA · Round of 32
#32WTA
1845ELO
1734Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLWWLL
Sets
Tuesday, 16 June 2026 ·
grass
#140WTA
1781ELO
1715Grass ELO
26 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWLWWW
Siniakova K.
vs
Masarova R.

Katerina Siniakova faces Rebeka Masarova in the Berlin round of 32 on grass. Katerina Siniakova holds the paper edge — ranked #32, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 20-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC
Siniakova K.52%
Masarova R.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+20 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Grass Elo 1714
5.4Overall Elo 1845
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1781
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.47 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.1Won 68% in DEU (25)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
2.0Opponent hot: 9 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

14 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Masarova R.

Masarova R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Serve advantage — Masarova R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
62
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
91
Break points won·Clear edge
94
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
63

Siniakova K.: 18 days rest · Masarova R.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final