Rebeka Masarova vs Katerina SiniakovaVic 125 Quarter-final

Vic 125 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#166WTA
1773ELO
1714Clay ELO
26 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 April 2025
clay
#34WTA
1846ELO
1722Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Masarova R.
6-3 6-4
Siniakova K.
Masarova R.
662
Siniakova K.
34

Rebeka Masarova defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-3 6-4 in the Vic 125 quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0, but Rebeka Masarova had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Rebeka Masarova claimed a first win over Katerina Siniakova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16BerlinR32grassKaterina Siniakova6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Masarova R.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Masarova R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Masarova R.Siniakova K.
Serve
29
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (82 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
66
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
91
75
Break points won·Clear edge
72
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
46
Tiebreaks·Dominant
35
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Clay Elo 1714
Surface ELO
5.7+8 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1773
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1846
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
3.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
8.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
97

Masarova R.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast