Rebeka Masarova defeated Alina Charaeva 6-3 6-7 7-6 in the Australian Open qualifying round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alina Charaeva came in ranked #118.
Masarova R. came through in three sets.
Masarova R. and Charaeva A. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Masarova R. went 2–1 (67%) against them, Charaeva A. 0–3 (0%). Masarova R. came out better against 2 of 3 comparable opponents, Charaeva A. against 0 — though 2 of those edges carry caveats (lower-tier event).
Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
Rebeka Masarova beat Alina Charaeva 6-3 6-7(2) 7-6(5). Umpiry, "Rebeka Masarova vs Alina Charaeva — Australian Open Qualifying Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-01-12/charaeva-vs-masarova-australian-open-q128?utm_source=cite (as of 12 January 2026).