Jessica Pegula vs Katerina SiniakovaWuhan Quarter-final

Wuhan · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Pegula J.
2-6 6-0 6-3
Siniakova K.
Pegula J.
2662
Siniakova K.
6031

Jessica Pegula defeated Katerina Siniakova 2-6 6-0 6-3 in the Wuhan quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 16. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-17BerlinR16grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2025-06-22Bad HomburgR16grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2024-06-17BerlinQFgrassJessica Pegula7-6(2) 3-6 6-3
2022-02-21DohaR64hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2021-06-21Bad HomburgR16grassKaterina Siniakova6-3 5-7 6-4
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pegula J.Siniakova K.
68
Serve
21
73
Return
64

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
75
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+251 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1807
8.1Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1846
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.8
Minutes 14d
9.2
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw