Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica PegulaBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#36WTA
1846ELO
1733Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 June 2021
grass
#4WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Siniakova K.
6-3 5-7 6-4
Pegula J.
Siniakova K.
6562
Pegula J.
3741

Katerina Siniakova defeated Jessica Pegula 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Bad Homburg round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 6–0. Katerina Siniakova claimed a first win over Jessica Pegula in seven meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

06
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-17BerlinR16grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-0 6-3
2025-06-22Bad HomburgR16grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2024-06-17BerlinQFgrassJessica Pegula7-6(2) 3-6 6-3
2022-02-21DohaR64hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Pegula J.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
96
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
96
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
100
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
90
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.2Grass Elo 1733
Surface ELO
6.8+170 Grass Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 2097
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
4.2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
3.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
76

Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Pegula J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 28 km/hHumidity 49%