Jessica Pegula vs Katerina SiniakovaBad Homburg Round of 16

Bad Homburg · WTA · Round of 16
#4WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 22 June 2025
grass
#36WTA
1846ELO
1733Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Pegula J.
6-2 6-3
Siniakova K.
Pegula J.
662
Siniakova K.
230

Jessica Pegula defeated Katerina Siniakova 6-2 6-3 in the Bad Homburg round of 16 on grass. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-17BerlinR16grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-0 6-3
2024-06-17BerlinQFgrassJessica Pegula7-6(2) 3-6 6-3
2022-02-21DohaR64hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2021-06-21Bad HomburgR16grassKaterina Siniakova6-3 5-7 6-4
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 72). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
75
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+170 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1733
8.1Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1846
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.4
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 34%