Jessica Pegula vs Katerina SiniakovaBerlin Quarter-final

Berlin · WTA · Quarter-final
#4WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$2.8MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#36WTA
1846ELO
1733Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
Pegula J.
7-6 3-6 6-3
Siniakova K.
Pegula J.
77362
Siniakova K.
62631

Jessica Pegula defeated Katerina Siniakova 7-6 3-6 6-3 in the Berlin quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Jessica Pegula came in ranked #4, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Jessica Pegula extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jessica Pegula closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

51
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-17BerlinR16grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-4
2025-10-06WuhanQFhardJessica Pegula2-6 6-0 6-3
2025-06-22Bad HomburgR16grassJessica Pegula6-2 6-3
2022-02-21DohaR64hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-2
2021-06-21Bad HomburgR16grassKaterina Siniakova6-3 5-7 6-4
2019-07-29WashingtonR32hardJessica Pegula6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Pegula J.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Siniakova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Pegula J.

Serve advantage — Pegula J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (151 vs 132). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
62
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
75
Break points won·Slight edge
99
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.8+170 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1733
8.1Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1846
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.8
Surface form
6.5
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
95

Pegula J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Siniakova K.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 63%