Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

FRA

Harmony Tan

#210WTA

1539ELO

1516Grass ELO

28 yrs · 171 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWWLWLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 09:00

grass

THA

Lanlana Tararudee

#94WTA

1752ELO

1600Grass ELO

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWWWWWL

Harmony Tan faces Lanlana Tararudee in the Ilkley round of 16 on grass. Lanlana Tararudee is the paper favourite — ranked #94, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage — but Harmony Tan rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Last match: Harmony Tan dropped the opening set before beating Taylah Preston 4–6 6–3 6–1.
Last match: Lanlana Tararudee won all two sets in tiebreaks against Iryna Shymanovich.
Fatigue load: Harmony Tan carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Win streak: Harmony Tan arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Tan H.24%

Tararudee L.76%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tararudee L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Tan H.

5.3

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Tararudee L.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

3.9Grass Elo 1516

Surface ELO

6.1+84 Grass Elo edge

4.0Overall Elo 1539

ELO gap

6.0Overall Elo 1752

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.56 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.24 of last 6 on grass

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

11°CDrizzle

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Tan H.Tararudee L.

52%1st serve in+7%59%

68%1st serve points won+1%67%

50%2nd serve points won+4%46%

59%Service points won59%

46%Return points won+1%47%

63%Break points saved+8%55%

2.5Aces / match+2.14.6

2.5Double faults / match+0.93.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee — Ilkley Round of 16