Tereza Martincova vs Katie SwanIlkley Round of 32

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#259WTA
1581ELO
1547Grass ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWLLW
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 5 · 1st on
#200WTA
1506ELO
1444Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWWWW

Around the match

  • It's never easy facing a Brit in the grass court season first round, and it's my first time defending points after making the final here last year. I'm really happy with how I handled it and managed to get over the line in straight sets. I love the grass, it really suits my game, and it's nice to be in the UK.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC
Martincova T.77%
Swan K.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Martincova T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+103 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Grass Elo 1444
5.1Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1506
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
4.7Home country · 1/9 here
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

1st on COURT 5 · not before Starting at 10:30 AM · up next on court

  1. 1Martincova T. v Swan K.This match
  2. 3Prozorova T. v Kraus S.

Conditions

Weather forecast
10°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 93%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
79%1st serve in+12%67%
64%1st serve points won+4%68%
55%2nd serve points won+9%46%
63%Service points won+2%61%
44%Return points won+4%48%
57%Break points saved+2%59%
1.4Aces / match+1.22.6
1.5Double faults / match+23.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.