Alicia Dudeney vs Himeno Sakatsume — Ilkley Round of 32
Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 2 · 1st on
Alicia Dudeney defeated Himeno Sakatsume 6-4 6-3 in the Ilkley round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Himeno Sakatsume came in ranked #127.
Key context
- Match story: Alicia Dudeney closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTCDudeney A.11%
Sakatsume H.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Sakatsume H. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1361
Surface ELO6.7+139 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1397
ELO gap5.1Overall Elo 1640
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.0Home country
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Dudeney A.
662
Sakatsume H.
430
Conditions
Weather
15°CPartly cloudy
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 53%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent form60%1st serve in+6%66%
67%1st serve points won+6%61%
50%2nd serve points won+5%45%
60%Service points won+4%56%
50%Return points won+7%43%
58%Break points saved+6%52%
2.3Aces / match+11.3
4.9Double faults / match+31.9
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Dudeney A.
Sakatsume H.
6-46-3
Golubic V.
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