Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney — Nottingham Qualifying Final

Nottingham · WTA · Qualifying Final
JPN
Himeno Sakatsume
#127WTA
1640ELO
1500Grass ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWLLLW
—
Sets
Sunday, 14 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 2 · 3rd on
GBRWC
Alicia Dudeney
#258WTA
1397ELO
1361Grass ELO
23 yrs
Last 10
WLWLWWWWWW

Himeno Sakatsume faces Alicia Dudeney in the Nottingham qualifying final on grass. Himeno Sakatsume holds the paper edge — ranked #127, a roughly 140-point grass Elo advantage.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC
Sakatsume H.81%
Dudeney A.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sakatsume H. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sakatsume H.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Dudeney A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+139 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Grass Elo 1361
5.2Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1397
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
3.52 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
4.42 of last 5 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

3rd on Court 2 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Blinkova A. v Bondar A.
  2. 3Sakatsume H. v Dudeney A.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather forecast
15°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Sakatsume H.Dudeney A.
66%1st serve in+6%60%
61%1st serve points won+6%67%
45%2nd serve points won+5%50%
56%Service points won+4%60%
43%Return points won+7%50%
52%Break points saved+6%58%
1.3Aces / match+12.3
1.9Double faults / match+34.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw — qualifying