Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo — Ilkley Round of 16

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

SUIQ

Celine Naef

#206WTA

1623ELO

1569Grass ELO

20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWLWLWLLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 18:30

grass

CENTRE COURT · 4th on

USA

Akasha Urhobo

#180WTA

1582ELO

1466Grass ELO

19 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWLLLWWWW

Celine Naef faces Akasha Urhobo in the Ilkley round of 16 on grass. Akasha Urhobo is the paper favourite — ranked #180 — but Celine Naef rides a 3-match win streak.

Key context

Last match: Akasha Urhobo handed Mananchaya Sawangkaew a second-set bagel in a 7–6 6–0 win.
Last match: Celine Naef edged Alexandra Korneeva in two tight sets (6–4 7–5).
Fatigue load: Celine Naef carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Win streak: Celine Naef arrives on a 3-match winning run.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC

Naef C.64%

Urhobo A.36%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Naef C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Naef C.

6.8

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Urhobo A.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

6.3+102 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

3.7Grass Elo 1466

4.5Overall Elo 1622

ELO gap

5.5Overall Elo 1582

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.47 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

15°CDrizzle

Wind 24 km/hHumidity 92%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Naef C.Urhobo A.

61%1st serve in+1%62%

69%1st serve points won+4%65%

47%2nd serve points won+1%46%

60%Service points won+2%58%

47%Return points won+2%49%

58%Break points saved+1%59%

3.7Aces / match+0.92.8

3.5Double faults / match+0.43.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.