Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia StefaniniIlkley Round of 16

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#119WTA
1581ELO
1446Grass ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWWWLWLW
Sets
Thursday, 11 June 2026 ·
grass
#169WTA
1532ELO
1497Grass ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLLWWL

Darja Vidmanova faces Lucrezia Stefanini in the Ilkley round of 16 on grass. Darja Vidmanova holds the paper edge — ranked #119.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC
Vidmanova D.58%
Stefanini L.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vidmanova D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1446
Surface ELO
5.6+51 Grass Elo edge
6.2Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1532
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
11°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 91%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
63%1st serve in+13%76%
63%1st serve points won+9%54%
47%2nd serve points won+4%43%
57%Service points won+5%52%
45%Return points won+1%46%
60%Break points saved+8%52%
3.1Aces / match+2.11
2.4Double faults / match+1.13.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.