Elvina Kalieva vs Ashlyn Krueger — Ilkley Round of 32

Ilkley · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
USA
Elvina Kalieva
#135WTA
1593ELO
1429Grass ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
grass
COURT 1 · 1st on
USA
Ashlyn Krueger
#113WTA
1711ELO
1576Grass ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW

Ashlyn Krueger reeled off five straight games on the way to a 6-2 6-2 win over Elvina Kalieva in the Ilkley round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 4: Ashlyn Krueger broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Elvina Kalieva converted 2 of 5 break points; Ashlyn Krueger converted 6 of 13 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC
Kalieva E.18%
Krueger A.82%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Krueger A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalieva E.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Krueger A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Grass Elo 1429
Surface ELO
6.8+147 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1593
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1711
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.12 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Kalieva E.
220
Krueger A.
662

Conditions

Weather
14°CPartly cloudy
Wind 28 km/hHumidity 63%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Kalieva E.Krueger A.
54%1st serve in+13%67%
65%1st serve points won+1%64%
46%2nd serve points won46%
56%Service points won+2%58%
45%Return points won+4%41%
55%Break points saved+2%57%
2.8Aces / match+2.85.6
5.1Double faults / match+0.15

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw