Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula — Miami Final
Miami · WTA · Final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$5.1MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 29 March 2025 ·
hard
#3WTA
2097ELO
2058Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Sabalenka A.7-5 6-2
Pegula J.
Sabalenka A.
762
Pegula J.
520
Aryna Sabalenka defeated Jessica Pegula 7-5 6-2 in the Miami final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 14–5, defending last year's round of 32. Aryna Sabalenka extended the head-to-head to 15–5.
Key context
- Match story: Aryna Sabalenka closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.
Head to head
14–5| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Berlin | SF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 4-6 7-6 0-6 |
| 2025-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 2-6 6-3 |
| 2025-10-11 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-4 7-6(2) |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 2-6 6-4 7-6 |
| 2025-09-04 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-08-25 | US Open | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-03-18 | Miami | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-09-07 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024-08-19 | Cincinnati | F | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-11-04 | WTA Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-10-31 | Fort Worth Finals | RR | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022-05-12 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021-04-29 | Madrid | R16 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020-09-28 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020-08-24 | Cincinnati | R16 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
100
90
Break points saved·Clear edge
89
76
Break points won·Even
98
97
Deciding sets·Even
96
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
82
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
100
100
Sabalenka A.: 21 days rest · Pegula J.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast