Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko — Adelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
USA
Madison Keys
#19WTA
1948ELO
1901Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
LAT
Jelena Ostapenko
[8]
#31WTA
1858ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$20MCAREER
28 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW

Madison Keys defeated Jelena Ostapenko 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Ostapenko J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+104 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1796
6.6Overall Elo 1948
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1858
4.6
H2H
5.4
5.4
Surface form
2.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
8.7
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Keys M.
3662
Ostapenko J.
6431

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.12
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-13DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 7-5
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassJelena Ostapenko6-3 RET
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys7-5 6-2
2016-06-13BirminghamQFgrassMadison Keys6-7(1) 6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Keys M.Ostapenko J.
65%1st serve in+6%59%
66%1st serve points won+2%64%
46%2nd serve points won+4%42%
59%Service points won+4%55%
44%Return points won+1%45%
62%Break points saved+13%49%
3.9Aces / match+0.43.5
3.5Double faults / match+1.65.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Keys M.
Pegula J.[1]
6-34-66-1
Semi-finals
Keys M.
Samsonova L.
5-77-53-0
Pegula J.[1]
Putintseva Y.
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Keys M.
Kasatkina D.[3]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Shnaider D.[6]
7-636-796-4
Pegula J.[1]
Krueger A.
6-42-0
Samsonova L.
Navarro E.[2]
6-46-4
R16
Kasatkina D.[3]
Jones E.
7-56-3
Keys M.
Ostapenko J.[8]
3-66-46-3
Samsonova L.
Bencic B.
7-634-66-4
Shnaider D.[6]
Vondrousova M.
4-61-1
Pegula J.[1]
Sakkari M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.
Badosa P.[5]
7-646-746-2
Putintseva Y.
Jabeur O.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[2]
Alexandrova E.
7-646-4
R32
Krueger A.
Kostyuk M.
4-66-26-2
Sakkari M.
Noskova L.
6-36-3
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.[7]
6-21-0
Putintseva Y.
Vekic D.
6-26-3
Vondrousova M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-746-2
Keys M.
Haddad Maia B.
6-26-1
Badosa P.[5]
Stearns P.
6-756-37-5
Jabeur O.
Collins D.[4]
7-666-2
Alexandrova E.
Fernandez L.
6-43-66-2
Jones E.
Wang X.
6-46-0
Kasatkina D.[3]
Gadecki O.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[8]
Frech M.
4-66-16-1
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-46-1
Shnaider D.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-30-66-0