Madison Keys vs Jelena OstapenkoAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 16
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025 ·
hard
#29WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Keys M.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Ostapenko J.
Keys M.
3662
Ostapenko J.
6431

Madison Keys defeated Jelena Ostapenko 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-13DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 7-5
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassJelena Ostapenko6-3
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys7-5 6-2
2016-06-13BirminghamQFgrassMadison Keys6-7 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
50%
Aces / match·Even
4.3
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 56). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
64
Break points saved·Dominant
80
12
Break points won·Slight edge
89
99
Deciding sets·Even
94
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
78

Keys M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw