Jaqueline Cristian vs Madison KeysCharleston Round of 32

Charleston · WTA · Round of 32
#36WTA
1834ELO
1746Clay ELO
$742kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 April 2024
clay
#23WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Cristian J.
3-6 6-3 6-3
Keys M.
Cristian J.
3662
Keys M.
6331

Jaqueline Cristian defeated Madison Keys 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the Charleston round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Jaqueline Cristian claimed a first win over Madison Keys in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30AucklandR16hardMadison Keys6-1 6-2
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardMadison Keys6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Cristian J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cristian J.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cristian J.Keys M.
37
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (137 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
94
Break points saved·Clear edge
84
96
Break points won·Clear edge
71
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1746
Surface ELO
6.8+148 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1834
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
7.4
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
7.8
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%