Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison Keys — Doha Round of 32

Doha · WTA · Round of 32
LAT
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1858ELO
1796Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$20MCAREER
28 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 February 2023
hard
USA
Madison Keys
#19WTA
1948ELO
1901Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Madison Keys 7-5 6-2 in the Doha round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ostapenko J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Keys M.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1796
Surface ELO
6.6+104 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1858
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1948
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.3
Surface form
7.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Ostapenko J.
762
Keys M.
520

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
0.99
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

1–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardMadison Keys3-6 6-4 6-3
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 7-5
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassJelena Ostapenko6-3 RET
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys7-5 6-2
2016-06-13BirminghamQFgrassMadison Keys6-7(1) 6-4 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Ostapenko J.Keys M.
59%1st serve in+6%65%
64%1st serve points won+2%66%
42%2nd serve points won+4%46%
55%Service points won+4%59%
45%Return points won+1%44%
49%Break points saved+13%62%
3.5Aces / match+0.43.9
5.1Double faults / match+1.63.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[1]
Pegula J.[2]
6-36-0
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Kudermetova V.[8]
6-06-1
Pegula J.[2]
Sakkari M.[5]
6-24-66-1
Quarter-finals
Pegula J.[2]
Haddad Maia B.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[5]
Garcia C.[3]
6-26-757-65
Kudermetova V.[8]
Gauff C.[4]
6-23-66-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Bencic B.[7]
W/O
R16
Sakkari M.[5]
Alexandrova E.
6-36-2
Bencic B.[7]
Azarenka V.
1-67-646-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Collins D.
6-06-1
Garcia C.[3]
Muchova K.
6-737-56-4
Pegula J.[2]
Ostapenko J.
6-22-67-5
Gauff C.[4]
Kvitova P.
6-37-66
Kudermetova V.[8]
Kenin S.
6-27-5
Haddad Maia B.
Kasatkina D.[6]
6-37-67
R32
Kasatkina D.[6]
Marino R.
7-656-2
Haddad Maia B.
Badosa P.
7-666-3
Sakkari M.[5]
Zheng Q.
6-23-66-3
Collins D.
Mertens E.
6-47-66
Azarenka V.
Oz I.
6-16-1
Bencic B.[7]
Tomova V.
6-06-1
Alexandrova E.
Pliskova K.
6-16-2
Kudermetova V.[8]
Krejcikova B.
6-43-67-65
Kvitova P.
Zhang S.
7-56-2
Kenin S.
Samsonova L.
6-36-1
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.
Keys M.
7-56-2