Madison Keys vs Ajla TomljanovicGuadalajara 2 Round of 32

Guadalajara 2 · WTA · Round of 32
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 October 2022
hard
#92WTA
1745ELO
1723Hard ELO
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Keys M.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Tomljanovic A.
Keys M.
3662
Tomljanovic A.
6431

Madison Keys defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Guadalajara 2 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-07-02WimbledonR128grassMadison Keys6-4 6-2
2015-08-03StanfordR16hardAjla Tomljanovic1-6 6-4 6-1
2014-01-06SydneyR16hardMadison Keys6-0 3-6 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tomljanovic A.

Tomljanovic A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Tomljanovic A.
36
Serve
26
29
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 177). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
71
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
73
Break points won·Even
90
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+197 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1723
7.5Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
97

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Tomljanovic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast

Draw