Jelena Ostapenko vs Madison KeysEastbourne Round of 16

Eastbourne · WTA · Round of 16
#29WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Monday, 20 June 2022
grass
#23WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Ostapenko J.
6-3
Keys M.
Ostapenko J.
6
Keys M.
3

Jelena Ostapenko advanced when Madison Keys retired 6-3 in the Eastbourne round of 16. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardMadison Keys3-6 6-4 6-3
2023-02-13DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 7-5
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys7-5 6-2
2016-06-13BirminghamQFgrassMadison Keys6-7(1) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
94
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
96
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1770
Surface ELO
5.3+73 Grass Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
6.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.2
Country comfort
6.3
Surface transition
3.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
87

Ostapenko J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Keys M.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 51%