Madison Keys vs Jelena OstapenkoBirmingham Quarter-final

Birmingham · WTA · Quarter-final
#22WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 June 2016
grass
#31WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Keys M.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Keys M.
61662
Ostapenko J.
77421

Madison Keys defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Birmingham quarter-final on grass. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardMadison Keys3-6 6-4 6-3
2023-02-13DohaR32hardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-2
2022-08-15CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 7-5
2022-06-20EastbourneR16grassJelena Ostapenko6-3 RET
2019-04-01CharlestonR16clayMadison Keys7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
79
Break points won·Slight edge
90
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
92

Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast