Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys — Indian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
Iga Swiatek
POL3
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
Madison Keys
USA25
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Swiatek I.
6-1 6-0
Keys M.
Swiatek I.
662
Keys M.
100

Iga Swiatek defeated Madison Keys 6-1 6-0 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 16. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-2
2025-04-22MadridQFclayIga Swiatek0-6 6-3 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardMadison Keys5-7 6-1 7-6(8)
2024-05-06RomeQFclayIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2024-04-22MadridSFclayIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2022-08-15CincinnatiR16hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2021-05-10RomeR32clayIga Swiatek7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Swiatek I.Keys M.
67
Serve
36
98
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.4
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
94
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Keys M.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+102 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1920
6.3Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.2
Surface form
6.0
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
7.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Keys M.
Freshness·Slight edge
91
82

Swiatek I.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Sakkari M.[6]
6-46-1
Semi-finals
Sakkari M.[6]
Badosa P.[5]
6-24-66-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Halep S.[24]
7-666-4
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Keys M.[25]
6-16-0
Badosa P.[5]
Kudermetova V.[21]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Rybakina E.[17]
7-56-4
Halep S.[24]
Martic P.
6-16-1
R16
Keys M.[25]
Dart H.
6-16-4
Badosa P.[5]
Fernandez L.[18]
6-46-4
Kudermetova V.[21]
Vondrousova M.[30]
7-656-757-5
Halep S.[24]
Cirstea S.[26]
6-16-4
Martic P.
Samsonova L.[28]
7-666-4
Sakkari M.[6]
Saville D.
4-1
Swiatek I.[3]
Kerber A.[15]
4-66-26-3
Rybakina E.[17]
Golubic V.[31]
7-656-2
R32
Cirstea S.[26]
Kalinskaya A.
5-76-16-0
Halep S.[24]
Gauff C.[16]
6-36-4
Martic P.
Raducanu E.[11]
6-736-47-5
Samsonova L.[28]
Kovinic D.
6-47-64
Kerber A.[15]
Kasatkina D.[23]
6-26-1
Dart H.
Kanepi K.
7-646-3
Keys M.[25]
Riske Amritraj A.
7-646-1
Badosa P.[5]
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
7-646-1
Fernandez L.[18]
Rogers S.
6-13-66-3
Vondrousova M.[30]
Kontaveit A.[4]
3-67-57-65
Sakkari M.[6]
Kvitova P.[27]
6-36-0
Saville D.
Mertens E.[20]
6-34-66-3
Rybakina E.[17]
Azarenka V.[13]
6-36-4
Golubic V.[31]
Paolini J.
7-51-67-64
Kudermetova V.[21]
Bouzkova M.
6-40-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Tauson C.[29]
6-736-26-1
R64
Raducanu E.[11]
Garcia C.
6-13-66-1
Kovinic D.
Pliskova K.[7]
2-67-56-4
Swiatek I.[3]
Kalinina A.
5-76-06-1
Tauson C.[29]
Haddad Maia B.
6-46-3
Kasatkina D.[23]
Volynets K.
6-44-67-5
Kanepi K.
Bencic B.[22]
6-46-3
Keys M.[25]
Doi M.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.[5]
Martincova T.
6-27-64
Fernandez L.[18]
Anisimova A.
2-67-60
Bouzkova M.
Pegula J.[14]
5-76-26-0
Vondrousova M.[30]
Frech M.
6-16-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-37-5
Kvitova P.[27]
Sasnovich A.
6-746-46-4
Mertens E.[20]
Kostyuk M.
6-26-1
Saville D.
Jabeur O.[9]
7-56-706-4
Azarenka V.[13]
Sharma A.
6-37-5
Paolini J.
Sabalenka A.[2]
2-66-36-3
Halep S.[24]
Alexandrova E.
6-24-66-2
Gauff C.[16]
Liu C.
6-17-64
Samsonova L.[28]
Li A.
4-66-46-3
Kudermetova V.[21]
Osaka N.
6-06-4
Dart H.
Svitolina E.[12]
2-66-36-3
Sorribes Tormo S.[32]
Juvan K.
3-67-56-3
Martic P.
Zidansek T.[19]
7-57-66
Riske Amritraj A.
Muguruza G.[8]
0-66-36-1
Rogers S.
Ostapenko J.[10]
7-57-67
Kerber A.[15]
Zheng Q.
6-25-76-4
Kontaveit A.[4]
Kucova K.
6-46-1
Cirstea S.[26]
Tomljanovic A.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[17]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-17-5
Kalinskaya A.
Cornet A.[33]
6-40-66-2
Golubic V.[31]
Putintseva Y.
6-32-66-4
R128
Kostyuk M.
Zanevska M.
6-757-667-5
Liu C.
Tomova V.
7-626-4
Garcia C.
Yastremska D.
6-46-787-5
Martic P.
Bondar A.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Dodin O.
6-36-3
Anisimova A.
Navarro E.
6-26-2
Rogers S.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-15-77-63
Osaka N.
Stephens S.
3-66-16-2
Frech M.
Sherif M.
6-27-5
Sharma A.
Linette M.
6-47-61
Van Uytvanck A.
Galfi D.
7-636-4
Putintseva Y.
Krueger A.
6-36-2
Kalinskaya A.
Tan H.
6-21-0
Haddad Maia B.
Kenin S.
6-37-5
Volynets K.
Rus A.
4-66-46-1
Zheng Q.
Zvonareva V.
6-36-2
Doi M.
Potapova A.
0-66-46-3
Riske Amritraj A.
Mcnally C.
6-06-3
Martincova T.
Watson H.
6-26-1
Dart H.
Konjuh A.
6-13-1
Sasnovich A.
Osorio C.
6-45-0
Paolini J.
Boulter K.
6-36-2
Kucova K.
Ruse E.
4-66-46-1
Kovinic D.
Teichmann J.
7-57-5
Kanepi K.
Montgomery R.
6-36-3
Kalinina A.
Burel C.
6-36-2
Bouzkova M.
Wang Q.
6-37-65
Alexandrova E.
Kalieva E.
4-66-27-67
Saville D.
Zhang S.
6-36-2
Tomljanovic A.
Baptiste H.
6-22-66-2
Li A.
Brengle M.
1-67-656-0
Siniakova K.
Begu I.
6-24-66-4