Iga Swiatek vs Madison KeysRome Quarter-final

Rome · WTA · Quarter-final
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 May 2024
clay
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Swiatek I.
6-1 6-3
Keys M.
Swiatek I.
662
Keys M.
130

Iga Swiatek defeated Madison Keys 6-1 6-3 in the Rome quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's quarter-final. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-2
2025-04-22MadridQFclayIga Swiatek0-6 6-3 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardMadison Keys5-7 6-1 7-6(8)
2024-04-22MadridSFclayIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2022-08-15CincinnatiR16hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2022-03-07Indian WellsQFhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-0
2021-05-10RomeR32clayIga Swiatek7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
94
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+114 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1894
6.3Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1987
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
6.5
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.6
Minutes 14d
4.8
4.0
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
5.5
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
77

Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw