Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys — Madrid Quarter-final

Madrid · WTA · Quarter-final
Iga Swiatek
POL2
Iga Swiatek
#3WTA
2064ELO
2008Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 22 April 2025
clay
Madison Keys
USA5
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Swiatek I.
0-6 6-3 6-2
Keys M.
Swiatek I.
0662
Keys M.
6321

Iga Swiatek defeated Madison Keys 0-6 6-3 6-2 in the Madrid quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Iga Swiatek came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending the title. Iga Swiatek extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

5–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-01Riyadh FinalsRRhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-2
2025-01-13Australian OpenSFhardMadison Keys5-7 6-1 7-6(8)
2024-05-06RomeQFclayIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2024-04-22MadridSFclayIga Swiatek6-1 6-3
2022-08-15CincinnatiR16hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2022-03-07Indian WellsQFhardIga Swiatek6-1 6-0
2021-05-10RomeR32clayIga Swiatek7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Swiatek I.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Swiatek I.

Serve advantage — Swiatek I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Swiatek I.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.1
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (85 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Swiatek I.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
94
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Swiatek I.
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Keys M.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 22 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.5+114 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1894
6.3Overall Elo 2064
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1987
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.5
Surface form
7.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Swiatek I.Keys M.
Freshness·Clear edge
89
77

Swiatek I.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Gauff C.[4]
6-37-63
Semi-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Swiatek I.[2]
6-16-1
Sabalenka A.[1]
Svitolina E.[17]
6-37-5
Quarter-finals
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kostyuk M.[24]
7-647-67
Svitolina E.[17]
Uchijima M.
6-26-1
Swiatek I.[2]
Keys M.[5]
0-66-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Andreeva M.[7]
7-56-1
R16
Uchijima M.
Alexandrova E.[21]
6-47-65
Swiatek I.[2]
Shnaider D.[13]
6-06-736-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-16-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Sakkari M.
6-36-4
Sabalenka A.[1]
Stearns P.
6-26-4
Kostyuk M.[24]
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Gauff C.[4]
Bencic B.
6-46-2
Keys M.[5]
Vekic D.[19]
6-26-3
R32
Shnaider D.[13]
Sevastova A.
6-06-0
Svitolina E.[17]
Rybakina E.[10]
6-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Navarro E.[11]
4-66-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Samsonova L.[18]
2-67-626-0
Andreeva M.[7]
Frech M.[27]
7-56-3
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
6-26-0
Kostyuk M.[24]
Kudermetova V.
6-04-66-4
Gauff C.[4]
Li A.
6-26-3
Alexandrova E.[21]
Kasatkina D.[14]
6-37-63
Swiatek I.[2]
Noskova L.[31]
6-46-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Mertens E.[28]
3-66-26-1
Keys M.[5]
Kalinskaya A.[30]
7-57-63
Bencic B.
Haddad Maia B.[16]
6-34-67-62
Potapova A.
Kenin S.[32]
3-66-47-66
Uchijima M.
Pegula J.[3]
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Paolini J.[6]
6-26-1
R64
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.
0-66-27-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Kenin S.[32]
Sun L.
6-36-2
Shnaider D.[13]
Volynets K.
6-16-2
Masarova R.
Putintseva Y.[22]
6-36-3
Swiatek I.[2]
Eala A.
4-66-46-2
Uchijima M.
Jabeur O.[26]
4-66-36-4
Vekic D.[19]
Baptiste H.
6-46-3
Haddad Maia B.[16]
Pera B.
2-66-36-1
Sevastova A.
Ostapenko J.[23]
7-626-2
Samsonova L.[18]
Dolehide C.
6-46-4
Kasatkina D.[14]
Parks A.
6-27-5
Mertens E.[28]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.
Linette M.[29]
7-656-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Cocciaretto E.
7-656-4
Kudermetova V.
Bucsa C.
4-67-617-5
Rybakina E.[10]
Andreescu B.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Lys E.
6-26-2
Bencic B.
Tauson C.[20]
7-57-5
Navarro E.[11]
Joint M.
7-57-5
Frech M.[27]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
5-77-626-4
Andreeva M.[7]
Bouzkova M.
6-36-4
Keys M.[5]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-3
Kalinskaya A.[30]
Parry D.
7-646-4
Noskova L.[31]
Carle M.
7-56-1
Stearns P.
Anisimova A.[15]
6-22-67-5
Kostyuk M.[24]
Raducanu E.
6-42-66-2
Potapova A.
Zheng Q.[8]
6-46-4
Alexandrova E.[21]
Danilovic O.
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[17]
Kartal S.
6-36-1
Paolini J.[6]
Boulter K.
6-16-2
Li A.
Fernandez L.[25]
6-43-66-4
R128
Li A.
Sasnovich A.
6-36-2
Sakkari M.
Wang X.
6-47-67
Parks A.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-36-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Sherif M.
6-36-1
Carle M.
Sramkova R.
6-36-2
Osorio C.
Arango E.
6-36-3
Pera B.
Fett J.
6-46-3
Bronzetti L.
Osaka N.
6-42-66-4
Potapova A.
Krueger A.
6-776-46-2
Raducanu E.
Lamens S.
7-646-4
Eala A.
Tomova V.
6-36-2
Starodubtseva Y.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-26-2
Baptiste H.
Cirstea S.
6-25-77-64
Kudermetova V.
Kudermetova P.
6-26-2
Yastremska D.
Jones F.
7-654-66-3
Masarova R.
Tomljanovic A.
6-31-67-5
Parry D.
Begu I.
6-36-4
Bencic B.
Sonmez Z.
6-06-2
Bouzkova M.
Zarazua R.
6-24-66-1
Dolehide C.
Avanesyan E.
6-46-4
Lys E.
Kostovic T.
6-26-2
Joint M.
Martinez Cirez C.
6-22-66-4
Boulter K.
Siniakova K.
4-66-26-1
Sun L.
Gracheva V.
3-66-16-4
Kartal S.
Cristian J.
6-27-5
Volynets K.
Kvitova P.
6-46-0
Stearns P.
Birrell K.
5-76-36-4
Blinkova A.
Udvardy P.
6-46-2
Uchijima M.
Montgomery R.
1-66-46-3
Andreescu B.
Kessler M.
6-26-4
Danilovic O.
Azarenka V.
6-46-2
Sevastova A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-47-5