Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko — Australian Open Quarter-final

Australian Open · WTA · Quarter-final
Elena Rybakina
KAZ22
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2110Hard ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT17
Jelena Ostapenko
#29WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Rybakina E.
6-2 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Rybakina E.
662
Ostapenko J.
240

Elena Rybakina defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-4 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 64. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR32hardElena Rybakina6-7(6) 6-2 6-4
2023-05-08RomeSFclayElena Rybakina6-2 6-4
2021-06-21EastbourneSFgrassJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-1
2019-10-07LinzQFhardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
100
Serve
10
34
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
79
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Ostapenko J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.5+316 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.5Hard Elo 1794
9.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.3
Minutes 14d
7.8
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
Freshness·Even
92
93

Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

Final
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rybakina E.[22]
4-66-36-4
Semi-finals
Sabalenka A.[5]
Linette M.
7-616-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Azarenka V.[24]
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[22]
Ostapenko J.[17]
6-26-4
Linette M.
Pliskova K.[30]
6-37-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Vekic D.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Pegula J.[3]
6-46-1
R16
Linette M.
Garcia C.[4]
7-636-4
Sabalenka A.[5]
Bencic B.[12]
7-56-2
Rybakina E.[22]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-46-4
Ostapenko J.[17]
Gauff C.[7]
7-56-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Zhu L.
4-66-16-4
Vekic D.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-21-66-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Zhang S.[23]
6-06-4
Pegula J.[3]
Krejcikova B.[20]
7-56-2
R32
Rybakina E.[22]
Collins D.[13]
6-25-76-2
Pegula J.[3]
Kostyuk M.
6-06-2
Krejcikova B.[20]
Kalinina A.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[24]
Keys M.[10]
1-66-26-1
Zhu L.
Sakkari M.[6]
7-631-66-4
Pliskova K.[30]
Gracheva V.
6-46-2
Linette M.
Alexandrova E.[19]
6-36-4
Bencic B.[12]
Giorgi C.
6-27-5
Sabalenka A.[5]
Mertens E.[26]
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Bucsa C.
6-06-1
Garcia C.[4]
Siegemund L.
1-66-36-3
Fruhvirtova L.
Vondrousova M.
7-52-66-3
Vekic D.
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-26-2
Gauff C.[7]
Pera B.
6-36-2
Zhang S.[23]
Volynets K.
6-36-2
Ostapenko J.[17]
Baindl K.
6-36-0
R64
Baindl K.
Mcnally C.
6-17-64
Gauff C.[7]
Raducanu E.
6-37-64
Pegula J.[3]
Sasnovich A.
6-27-65
Keys M.[10]
Wang X.
6-36-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Sabalenka A.[5]
Rogers S.
6-36-1
Krejcikova B.[20]
Burel C.
6-46-1
Vekic D.
Samsonova L.[18]
6-36-0
Kostyuk M.
Gadecki O.
6-26-1
Linette M.
Kontaveit A.[16]
3-66-36-4
Bucsa C.
Andreescu B.
2-67-676-4
Collins D.[13]
Muchova K.
6-716-27-66
Ostapenko J.[17]
Bondar A.
7-655-76-0
Pera B.
Zheng Q.[29]
6-46-4
Zhu L.
Teichmann J.[32]
6-26-2
Sakkari M.[6]
Shnaider D.
3-67-56-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Putintseva Y.
6-07-5
Zhang S.[23]
Martic P.
6-36-3
Alexandrova E.[19]
Townsend T.
1-66-26-3
Siegemund L.
Begu I.[27]
5-77-56-3
Garcia C.[4]
Fernandez L.
7-657-5
Giorgi C.
Schmiedlova A.
6-46-3
Bencic B.[12]
Liu C.
7-636-3
Parrizas Diaz N.
Potapova A.
6-36-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Vondrousova M.
Jabeur O.[2]
6-15-76-1
Volynets K.
Kudermetova V.[9]
6-42-66-2
Gracheva V.
Stefanini L.
6-36-1
Swiatek I.[1]
Osorio C.
6-26-3
Mertens E.[26]
Davis L.
6-46-3
Kalinina A.
Kvitova P.[15]
7-56-4
Rybakina E.[22]
Juvan K.
6-26-1
R128
Osorio C.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Andreescu B.
Bouzkova M.[25]
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[20]
Bejlek S.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Gibson T.
6-36-4
Keys M.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-43-66-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Kenin S.
6-47-63
Shnaider D.
Kucova K.
7-667-5
Kudermetova V.[9]
Zanevska M.
6-27-64
Townsend T.
Parry D.
6-16-1
Alexandrova E.[19]
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-1
Garcia C.[4]
Sebov K.
6-36-0
Rogers S.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
1-67-56-1
Mertens E.[26]
Muguruza G.
3-67-636-1
Schmiedlova A.
Trevisan M.[21]
6-36-2
Giorgi C.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
7-6116-2
Kontaveit A.[16]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-636-2
Gadecki O.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Ostapenko J.[17]
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.[28]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[7]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Birrell K.
Kanepi K.[31]
3-67-646-1
Samsonova L.[18]
Paolini J.
6-26-4
Begu I.[27]
Mandlik E.
3-67-616-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Martincova T.
6-16-4
Baindl K.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-786-1
Bencic B.[12]
Tomova V.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
7-626-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Pigossi L.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[29]
Galfi D.
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Cristian J.
6-06-1
Podoroska N.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Zhang S.[23]
Tig P.
6-14-66-0
Martic P.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Brengle M.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-22-67-67
Fruhvirtova L.
Fourlis J.
6-06-4
Vondrousova M.
Riske Amritraj A.
5-76-16-4
Jabeur O.[2]
Zidansek T.
7-684-66-1
Linette M.
Sherif M.
7-56-1
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
2-66-46-3
Wang X.
Hunter S.
7-626-4
Bondar A.
Bogdan A.
6-22-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Uchijima M.
2-66-36-1
Muchova K.
Tsurenko L.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Cornet A.
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Janicijevic S.
7-56-1
Collins D.[13]
Kalinskaya A.
7-55-76-4
Zhu L.
Marino R.
6-26-4
Putintseva Y.
Cirstea S.
2-66-46-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Wang X.
6-16-3
Volynets K.
Rodina E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Lys E.
2-66-06-2
Kalinina A.
Vandeweghe C.
6-36-1
Teichmann J.[32]
Dart H.
7-56-1
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
3-67-56-4