Jelena Ostapenko vs Elena RybakinaEastbourne Semi-final

Eastbourne · WTA · Semi-final
#31WTA
1855ELO
1770Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 June 2021
grass
#2WTA
2122ELO
1884Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
Ostapenko J.
6-4 6-1
Rybakina E.
Ostapenko J.
662
Rybakina E.
410

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Elena Rybakina 6-4 6-1 in the Eastbourne semi-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–1, but Jelena Ostapenko had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on grass. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR32hardElena Rybakina6-7(6) 6-2 6-4
2023-05-08RomeSFclayElena Rybakina6-2 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenQFhardElena Rybakina6-2 6-4
2019-10-07LinzQFhardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Rybakina E.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.8
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
92
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
98
Break points won·Even
100
96
Deciding sets·Even
96
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
2.9Grass Elo 1770
Surface ELO
7.1+114 Grass Elo edge
0.6Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
9.4Overall Elo 2122
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
91

Ostapenko J.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°CRain
Wind 33 km/hHumidity 87%