Jelena Ostapenko defeated Elena Rybakina 7-5 6-1 in the Linz quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Jelena Ostapenko narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2023-08-14 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-7(6) 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome | SF | clay | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2021-06-21 | Eastbourne | SF | grass | Jelena Ostapenko | 6-4 6-1 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rybakina E.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About