Elena Rybakina vs Jelena Ostapenko — Rome Semi-final

Rome · WTA · Semi-final
Elena Rybakina
KAZ7
Elena Rybakina
#2WTA
2122ELO
2002Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT20
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Rybakina E.
6-2 6-4
Ostapenko J.
Rybakina E.
662
Ostapenko J.
240

Elena Rybakina defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-4 in the Rome semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Elena Rybakina came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Elena Rybakina extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

3–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR32clayElena Rybakina6-2 6-2
2023-08-14CincinnatiR32hardElena Rybakina6-7(6) 6-2 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenQFhardElena Rybakina6-2 6-4
2021-06-21EastbourneSFgrassJelena Ostapenko6-4 6-1
2019-10-07LinzQFhardJelena Ostapenko7-5 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rybakina E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Rybakina E.

Serve advantage — Rybakina E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
100
Serve
—
9
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 163). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
88
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
79
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rybakina E.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Ostapenko J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.1+193 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Clay Elo 1808
9.4Overall Elo 2122
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1855
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rybakina E.Ostapenko J.
Freshness·Even
89
91

Rybakina E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinina A.[30]
6-41-0
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Ostapenko J.[20]
6-26-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Kudermetova V.[11]
7-55-76-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Swiatek I.[1]
2-67-632-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Zheng Q.[22]
3-66-36-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-727-666-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Badosa P.
6-24-66-3
R16
Kalinina A.[30]
Keys M.[19]
2-66-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Vekic D.[21]
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[22]
Wang X.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.
Muchova K.
6-46-746-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-26-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-44-66-0
Rybakina E.[7]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
R32
Vondrousova M.
Sakkari M.[9]
7-56-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Bondar A.
7-626-4
Wang X.
Townsend T.
6-20-67-5
Osorio C.
Garcia C.[5]
6-46-4
Keys M.[19]
Azarenka V.[14]
W/O
Kalinina A.[30]
Kenin S.
6-46-2
Kasatkina D.[8]
Grabher J.
7-54-67-62
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinskaya A.
4-3
Bouzkova M.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
4-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Giorgi C.
7-646-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Linette M.[17]
7-56-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Tsurenko L.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[21]
Samsonova L.[16]
2-67-656-2
Badosa P.
Kostyuk M.[32]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[20]
Krejcikova B.[10]
7-626-0
Kudermetova V.[11]
Potapova A.[23]
7-53-66-1
R64
Vondrousova M.
Andreescu B.[24]
6-06-1
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[25]
6-44-66-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Paolini J.
7-646-1
Badosa P.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[10]
Kovinic D.
6-24-1
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pigato L.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
Potapova A.[23]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-4
Azarenka V.[14]
Stephens S.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Cirstea S.
6-33-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Pera B.[28]
6-46-4
Townsend T.
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-0
Vekic D.[21]
Sasnovich A.
3-66-36-3
Samsonova L.[16]
Kontaveit A.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Strycova B.
6-16-3
Kostyuk M.[32]
Liu C.
6-06-4
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[18]
3-66-37-5
Giorgi C.
Alexandrova E.[15]
6-46-2
Grabher J.
Teichmann J.[26]
7-645-76-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Cornet A.
6-37-62
Garcia C.[5]
Bogdan A.
6-43-67-5
Osorio C.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-2
Linette M.[17]
Noskova L.
7-646-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Ruse E.
6-26-3
Keys M.[19]
Frech M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.[30]
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kenin S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-646-2
Wang X.
Begu I.[31]
6-47-5
Kudermetova V.[11]
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Pliskova K.[13]
7-656-2
Bouzkova M.[27]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
R128
Vondrousova M.
Kanepi K.
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.
Wang X.
6-46-736-2
Strycova B.
Zanevska M.
6-13-66-3
Wang X.
Stefanini L.
7-627-62
Kovinic D.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fernandez L.
7-644-66-3
Kontaveit A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Badosa P.
Friedsam A.
4-66-27-62
Liu C.
Rosatello C.
6-796-26-2
Muchova K.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-5
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
4-66-26-3
Cirstea S.
Volynets K.
2-66-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Davis L.
6-36-0
Parrizas Diaz N.
Niemeier J.
4-66-46-2
Cornet A.
Martincova T.
7-626-4
Townsend T.
Bonaventure Y.
4-66-17-5
Osorio C.
Gracheva V.
7-641-67-64
Ruse E.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-16-0
Frech M.
Paoletti M.
4-66-27-5
Blinkova A.
Sherif M.
2-66-26-3
Kenin S.
Bucsa C.
6-36-787-5
Tsurenko L.
Svitolina E.
6-46-3
Stephens S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-1
Grabher J.
Brancaccio N.
6-43-66-2
Mcnally C.
Spiteri D.
6-06-1
Bondar A.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Pigato L.
Cherubini D.
7-52-66-3
Putintseva Y.
Tomova V.
6-757-636-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Errani S.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Rogers S.
4-66-16-4
Kalinskaya A.
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Bogdan A.
Hibino N.
7-56-0