Clara Tauson vs Madison Keys — Auckland Quarter-final

Auckland · WTA · Quarter-final
Clara Tauson
DEN5
Clara Tauson
#25WTA
1802ELO
1775Hard ELO
$792kYTD
$5.2MCAREER
23 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 December 2024
hard
Madison Keys
USA1
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Tauson C.
6-4 7-6
Keys M.
Tauson C.
6792
Keys M.
4670

Clara Tauson defeated Madison Keys 6-4 7-6 in the Auckland quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22. Clara Tauson extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealQFhardClara Tauson6-1 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Tauson C.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tauson C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tauson C.Keys M.
56
Serve
36
39
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Tauson C.Keys M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (128 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tauson C.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
94
Break points saved·Even
93
96
Break points won·Even
93
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tauson C.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 45 days (−0.7)
Keys M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 84 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1775
Surface ELO
6.4+145 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1802
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
4.7
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tauson C.Keys M.
Freshness·Clear edge
98
82

Tauson C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw

Final
Gauff C.[1]
Svitolina E.[2]
6-746-36-3
Tauson C.[5]
Osaka N.[7]
4-60-0
Semi-finals
Svitolina E.[2]
Wang X.
2-66-46-3
Gauff C.[1]
Navarro E.[4]
6-36-1
Osaka N.[7]
Parks A.
6-46-2
Tauson C.[5]
Montgomery R.
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Svitolina E.[2]
Bouzkova M.[5]
6-06-3
Wang X.
Parry D.
6-736-36-4
Gauff C.[1]
Gracheva V.[8]
6-16-1
Navarro E.[4]
Martic P.[7]
6-46-3
Osaka N.[7]
Baptiste H.
6-726-16-2
Montgomery R.
Pera B.
6-46-4
Tauson C.[5]
Keys M.[1]
6-47-67
Parks A.
Volynets K.[8]
6-16-4
R16
Bouzkova M.[5]
Anisimova A.
6-06-1
Svitolina E.[2]
Raducanu E.
6-757-636-1
Gauff C.[1]
Fruhvirtova B.
6-36-0
Navarro E.[4]
Avanesyan E.
6-16-2
Martic P.[7]
Yuan Y.
6-26-2
Wang X.
Wang X.[6]
6-33-67-62
Parry D.
Tsurenko L.[3]
2-66-46-1
Gracheva V.[8]
Sun L.
6-36-4
Osaka N.[7]
Grabher J.
7-56-3
Montgomery R.
Hibino N.
6-26-2
Volynets K.[8]
Li A.
6-46-3
Keys M.[1]
Cristian J.
6-16-2
Baptiste H.
Burrage J.
5-77-57-66
Parks A.
Minnen G.
7-56-3
Pera B.
Marino R.
7-626-4
Tauson C.[5]
Kenin S.
4-67-677-63
R32
Anisimova A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
7-56-4
Navarro E.[4]
Fruhvirtova L.
2-66-46-2
Wang X.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-47-5
Gauff C.[1]
Liu C.
6-46-2
Fruhvirtova B.
Blinkova A.
7-56-4
Sun L.
Kessler M.
6-46-3
Gracheva V.[8]
Martincova T.
6-737-56-2
Avanesyan E.
Barry M.
7-666-2
Martic P.[7]
Masarova R.
3-66-36-3
Parry D.
Bektas E.
6-747-56-3
Raducanu E.
Ruse E.
6-34-67-5
Tsurenko L.[3]
Vickery S.
7-56-4
Svitolina E.[2]
Wozniacki C.
6-46-3
Wang X.
Cristian J.
6-15-77-63
Yuan Y.
Day K.
7-616-756-1
Bouzkova M.[5]
Frech M.
6-03-66-4
Grabher J.
Romero Gormaz L.
2-66-37-67
Keys M.[1]
Bronzetti L.
6-46-4
Cristian J.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-32-0
Minnen G.
Friedsam A.
6-46-0
Parks A.
Anisimova A.[3]
2-66-26-3
Marino R.
Sun L.[4]
6-33-66-3
Kenin S.
Wang X.
7-656-1
Osaka N.[7]
Glushko L.
6-46-4
Tauson C.[5]
Stefanini L.
6-26-3
Burrage J.
Yang V.
6-36-3
Baptiste H.
Jamrichova R.
6-06-2
Volynets K.[8]
Andreeva E.
6-46-766-2
Pera B.
Jimenez Kasintseva V.
6-27-5
Montgomery R.
Hontama M.
6-32-66-0
Hibino N.
Niemeier J.
6-36-4
Li A.
Stephens S.
5-76-46-4