Madison Keys vs Daria Kasatkina — Adelaide Quarter-final

Adelaide · WTA · Quarter-final
USA
Madison Keys
#19WTA
1948ELO
1901Hard ELO
$657kYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
AUS
Daria Kasatkina
[3]
#53WTA
1823ELO
1771Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW

Madison Keys defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-3 in the Adelaide quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 9–2. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 10–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Keys M.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Kasatkina D.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+130 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1771
6.8Overall Elo 1948
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1823
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.4
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
6.3
Country comfort
6.9
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Keys M.
662
Kasatkina D.
130

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.12
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

9–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-26EastbourneFgrassMadison Keys6-2 7-6(13)
2023-04-03CharlestonQFclayDaria Kasatkina6-7(5) 6-4 6-2
2022-10-10San DiegoR16hardMadison Keys6-4 6-3
2022-01-03Melbourne 2R16hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardMadison Keys6-3 6-1
2019-09-16OsakaR32hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2019-08-12CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 6-1
2018-10-29ZhuhaiR16hardMadison Keys6-2 6-4
2017-08-14CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-2 6-1
2016-09-26WuhanR16hardMadison Keys6-1 4-6 6-4
2016-08-08OlympicsQFhardMadison Keys6-3 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Keys M.Kasatkina D.
65%1st serve in+4%69%
66%1st serve points won+9%57%
46%2nd serve points won+5%41%
59%Service points won+7%52%
44%Return points won+6%50%
62%Break points saved+10%52%
3.9Aces / match+2.21.7
3.5Double faults / match+2.86.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Keys M.
Pegula J.[1]
6-34-66-1
Semi-finals
Keys M.
Samsonova L.
5-77-53-0
Pegula J.[1]
Putintseva Y.
7-646-3
Quarter-finals
Keys M.
Kasatkina D.[3]
6-16-3
Putintseva Y.
Shnaider D.[6]
7-636-796-4
Pegula J.[1]
Krueger A.
6-42-0
Samsonova L.
Navarro E.[2]
6-46-4
R16
Kasatkina D.[3]
Jones E.
7-56-3
Keys M.
Ostapenko J.[8]
3-66-46-3
Samsonova L.
Bencic B.
7-634-66-4
Shnaider D.[6]
Vondrousova M.
4-61-1
Pegula J.[1]
Sakkari M.
6-46-1
Krueger A.
Badosa P.[5]
7-646-746-2
Putintseva Y.
Jabeur O.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[2]
Alexandrova E.
7-646-4
R32
Krueger A.
Kostyuk M.
4-66-26-2
Sakkari M.
Noskova L.
6-36-3
Bencic B.
Kalinskaya A.[7]
6-21-0
Putintseva Y.
Vekic D.
6-26-3
Vondrousova M.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-46-746-2
Keys M.
Haddad Maia B.
6-26-1
Badosa P.[5]
Stearns P.
6-756-37-5
Jabeur O.
Collins D.[4]
7-666-2
Alexandrova E.
Fernandez L.
6-43-66-2
Jones E.
Wang X.
6-46-0
Kasatkina D.[3]
Gadecki O.
6-26-3
Ostapenko J.[8]
Frech M.
4-66-16-1
Samsonova L.
Bouzkova M.
1-66-46-1
Shnaider D.[6]
Siniakova K.
6-30-66-0