Madison Keys vs Daria KasatkinaEastbourne Final

Eastbourne · WTA · Final
#23WTA
1987ELO
1843Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 June 2023
grass
#63WTA
1795ELO
1666Grass ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Keys M.
6-2 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Keys M.
67152
Kasatkina D.
26130

Madison Keys defeated Daria Kasatkina 6-2 7-6 in the Eastbourne final on grass. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 9–2, defending last year's round of 16. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 10–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Keys closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

92
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideQFhardMadison Keys6-1 6-3
2023-04-03CharlestonQFclayDaria Kasatkina6-7(5) 6-4 6-2
2022-10-10San DiegoR16hardMadison Keys6-4 6-3
2022-01-03Melbourne 2R16hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(4) 2-6 6-3
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardMadison Keys6-3 6-1
2019-09-16OsakaR32hardMadison Keys6-3 6-4
2019-08-12CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-4 6-1
2018-10-29ZhuhaiR16hardMadison Keys6-2 6-4
2017-08-14CincinnatiR32hardMadison Keys6-2 6-1
2016-09-26WuhanR16hardMadison Keys6-1 4-6 6-4
2016-08-08OlympicsQFhardMadison Keys6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (153 vs 184). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
94
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Slight edge
90
100
Deciding sets·Even
97
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+176 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1666
6.8Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1795
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
5.9
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.3
Country comfort
5.4
3.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
92

Keys M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 53%