Daria Kasatkina vs Madison Keys — Melbourne 2 Round of 16
AUS3
USA
Kasatkina D.
Daria Kasatkina defeated Madison Keys 7-6 2-6 6-3 in the Melbourne 2 round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 10–1. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 10–2.
Key context
- Match story: Daria Kasatkina closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–3.
Head to head
1–10| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | QF | hard | Madison Keys | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2023-06-26 | Eastbourne | F | grass | Madison Keys | 6-2 7-6(13) |
| 2023-04-03 | Charleston | QF | clay | Daria Kasatkina | 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-10-10 | San Diego | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-09-16 | Osaka | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-08-12 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2018-10-29 | Zhuhai | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2017-08-14 | Cincinnati | R32 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2016-09-26 | Wuhan | R16 | hard | Madison Keys | 6-1 4-6 6-4 |
| 2016-08-08 | Olympics | QF | hard | Madison Keys | 6-3 6-1 |
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Serve & return on hard
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About