Roman Safiullin vs Matteo Arnaldi — Brisbane Quarter-final

Brisbane · ATP · Quarter-final
RUS
Roman Safiullin
#141ATP
1766ELO
1712Hard ELO
$86kYTD
$4.2MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 January 2024
hard
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#104ATP
1763ELO
1699Hard ELO
$302kYTD
$4.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWW

Roman Safiullin defeated Matteo Arnaldi 7-6 6-2 in the Brisbane quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #104, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Safiullin R.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Arnaldi M.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.4+13 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1699
5.5Overall Elo 1766
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1763
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Safiullin R.
7762
Arnaldi M.
6420

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.27
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 90%

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardMatteo Arnaldi6-2 6-4 6-4

Statistics

Recent form
Safiullin R.Arnaldi M.
65%1st serve in+9%56%
71%1st serve points won+5%66%
51%2nd serve points won+2%49%
64%Service points won+5%59%
42%Return points won+3%39%
61%Break points saved+1%60%
3.8Aces / match+0.54.3
2.6Double faults / match+1.84.4

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Dimitrov G.[2]
Rune H.[1]
7-656-4
Lehecka J.
Opelka R.
4-1
Semi-finals
Dimitrov G.[2]
Thompson J.
6-37-5
Rune H.[1]
Safiullin R.
6-47-60
Opelka R.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-37-64
Lehecka J.
Dimitrov G.[2]
6-44-4
Quarter-finals
Thompson J.
Nadal R.
5-77-666-3
Rune H.[1]
Duckworth J.
6-27-66
Safiullin R.
Arnaldi M.
7-646-2
Dimitrov G.[2]
Hijikata R.
6-16-4
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Mensik J.
7-57-65
Lehecka J.
Jarry N.
6-46-4
Opelka R.
Djokovic N.[1]
7-666-3
Dimitrov G.[2]
Thompson J.[8]
6-12-1
R16
Thompson J.
Humbert U.[4]
W/O
Dimitrov G.[2]
Altmaier D.
6-16-2
Duckworth J.
Hanfmann Y.
4-66-17-62
Hijikata R.
Machac T.
5-76-27-64
Nadal R.
Kubler J.
6-16-2
Safiullin R.
Popyrin A.
6-796-47-63
Rune H.[1]
Shevchenko A.
6-45-76-2
Arnaldi M.
Klein L.
6-43-67-5
Opelka R.
Arnaldi M.
7-697-64
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[4]
6-47-64
Jarry N.
Bonzi B.
6-26-3
Lehecka J.
Nishioka Y.
6-26-756-4
Thompson J.[8]
Michelsen A.
7-56-3
Djokovic N.[1]
Monfils G.
6-36-3
Dimitrov G.[2]
Vukic A.
6-27-65
Mensik J.
Lajovic D.
6-36-2
R32
Safiullin R.
Shelton B.[3]
6-36-756-3
Altmaier D.
Tu L.
7-657-64
Rune H.[1]
Purcell M.
4-66-46-2
Popyrin A.
Oconnell C.
6-46-757-64
Humbert U.[4]
Michelsen A.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.[2]
Murray A.
4-67-56-2
Machac T.
Etcheverry T.[7]
6-757-57-61
Klein L.
Baez S.[6]
4-66-36-4
Hijikata R.
Kokkinakis T.
7-686-2
Hanfmann Y.
Korda S.[5]
7-56-4
Shevchenko A.
Van Assche L.
6-36-2
Arnaldi M.
Fucsovics M.
6-756-47-67
Thompson J.
Vukic A.
6-36-2
Kubler J.
Karatsev A.[8]
6-46-740-0
Duckworth J.
Wolf J.
6-36-4
Nadal R.
Thiem D.
7-56-1
Lajovic D.
Cazaux A.
6-46-4
Lehecka J.
Rune H.[3]
7-56-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Kyrgios N.
7-626-747-63
Djokovic N.[1]
Hijikata R.
6-36-3
Thompson J.[8]
Berrettini M.
3-66-36-4
Dimitrov G.[2]
Hanfmann Y.
7-656-3
Opelka R.
Gomez F.
7-56-4
Tiafoe F.[4]
Walton A.
7-656-3
Michelsen A.
Oconnell C.
6-44-67-610
Mensik J.
Kukushkin M.
7-636-4
Nishioka Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Monfils G.
Basavareddy N.
6-44-66-1
Jarry N.
Navone M.
7-57-67
Bonzi B.
Tabilo A.[6]
6-787-656-4
Arnaldi M.
Popyrin A.[7]
6-36-2
Vukic A.
Goffin D.
6-26-3