Roman Safiullin vs Denis ShapovalovWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
#132ATP
1750ELO
1627Grass ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
#41ATP
1771ELO
1636Grass ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Safiullin R.
3-6 6-3 6-1 6-3
Shapovalov D.
Safiullin R.
36663
Shapovalov D.
63131

Roman Safiullin defeated Denis Shapovalov 3-6 6-3 6-1 6-3 in the Wimbledon round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64, but Roman Safiullin had been the form player, winning 3 of their last 4 on grass. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Denis Shapovalov in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-3
2022-01-03Atp CupSFhardDenis Shapovalov6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 147). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
85
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
44
71
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
78
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1627
Surface ELO
5.3+9 Grass Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.4
Surface form
3.2
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
8.3
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
98

Safiullin R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
R128
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6-36-06-1