Denis Shapovalov vs Roman SafiullinAdelaide 1 Round of 16

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Round of 16
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#96ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Shapovalov D.
6-4 6-3
Safiullin R.
Shapovalov D.
662
Safiullin R.
430

Denis Shapovalov defeated Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-3 in the Adelaide 1 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-03WimbledonR16grassRoman Safiullin3-6 6-3 6-1 6-3
2022-01-03Atp CupSFhardDenis Shapovalov6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Safiullin R.
21
Serve
63
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.1
6.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (147 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
68
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
71
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 36 days (−0.7)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.0+72 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1704
5.4Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1750
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
6.6
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
84

Shapovalov D.: 15 days rest · Safiullin R.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast