Roman Safiullin vs Lorenzo MusettiChengdu Semi-final

Chengdu · ATP · Semi-final
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 20 September 2023
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Safiullin R.
6-3 6-4
Musetti L.
Safiullin R.
662
Musetti L.
340

Roman Safiullin defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-4 in the Chengdu semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Lorenzo Musetti in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardLorenzo Musetti7-5 5-7 6-2
2024-03-18Miami MastersR64hardLorenzo Musetti7-5 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Musetti L.
Serve
54
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
68
89
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Dominant
44
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
7.3+100 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
3.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
74

Safiullin R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast