Lorenzo Musetti vs Roman SafiullinIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Musetti L.
7-5 5-7 6-2
Safiullin R.
Musetti L.
7562
Safiullin R.
5721

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Roman Safiullin 7-5 5-7 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 32. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in three sets, 7–5 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18Miami MastersR64hardLorenzo Musetti7-5 6-1
2023-09-20ChengduSFhardRoman Safiullin6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Safiullin R.
54
Serve
62
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
68
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Dominant
82
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+100 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1704
7.4Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1750
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.1
Surface form
4.2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
4.7
Country comfort
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
70

Safiullin R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%